OK, a last minute Oscar prediction for 2008 films…..
Because it is a level playing field in terms of quality, there could be a surprise in several categories except Best Supporting Actor. I have only seen some of the acting nominees but, as always, have seen all the Best Picture ones. Enjoy the telecast-the producers(Bill Condon did Dreamgirls) should have some cool faces and events that changes the traditional presentations. Here we go. –Clint
BEST PICTURE-All the films here are good but not one grabbed me deeply. However, Slumdog Millionaire is a gritty Cinderella story with universal appeal and should complete its magical journey.
BEST DIRECTOR-Danny Boyle makes good films (Trainspotting, 28 Days Later) and this is his coming out ceremony with Slumdog.
BEST ACTRESS-very close race between my favorite, Meryl Streep in Doubt and Kate Winslet in The Reader. Historically when an actress is overdue, she wins. When an actress has another strong film that year (revolutionary Road), she wins. Winslet wins.
BEST ACTOR-Sean Penn in Milk was transforming despite Mickey Rourke in the comeback film The Wrestler. Very very close…..I go with my heart-Sean Penn.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS-very tough here too but it is likely between Penelope Cruz in Vicky Cristina Barcelona and a short, memorable moment by Viola Davis in Doubt. If Streep loses, look for Davis to be the representative winner on Doubt. Cruz is heavily favored but I still remember Davis-so Davis.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR-Heath Ledger was so good in a memorable way in The Dark Knight (which should have been a best picture nominee-it was nominated in every major guild –Producers, Director etc)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY-Milk was a very complete film and could have won Best Picture in another year. Here is its validation.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY-Slumdog Millionaire, although this is where an upset could occur with strong competition from every film.
The rest…..
Benjamin Button should take SPECIAL EFFECTS (from Iron Man), possibly ART DIRECTION, and of course most definitely MAKEUP.
The Dark Knight in addition should take SOUND MIXING and SOUND EDITING,
Slumdog could scoop more awards like MUSICAL SCORE (think The Last Emperor), CINEMATOGRAPHY, and even COSTUME DESIGN. Probably EDITING although Benjamin Button is strong here.
Wall-E deserves BEST ANIMATION and could have been a Best Picture nominee. It could steak best song from Slumdog.
Waltz with Bashir should pickup FOREIGN FILM and Man on Wire for DOCUMENTARY FEATURE.
The tally-Slumdog-7 Oscars, Benjamin Button and Dark Knight could end up with 3 Oscars each. I give up on the short film categories.
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